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Treasury Rates Update: February 1st, 2023

Summary:  On 1.31.24 the Fed kept rates unchanged however they clearly indicated that up to 3 rate cuts were a distinct possibility later in 2024.


Upcoming Key Economic Data Release


2.1.24 New jobs data for January released 353,000  A robust amount.  Next release 3.8.24.

  • 2.13.24 next CPI.  Likely to cause a decrease from 3.3% to 3.1%

  • No Fed meeting in February (March 20 is the next meeting, NO meeting in April) 

 

For the past 2 weeks, 10-year Treasury rates were down 27bp. Past week down 27bp.

 

The red line is the most current rate while the green line is from one week ago.

Longer-term rates decreased MORE relative to shorter-term rates, as such the inverted yield curve is steeper. For terms 5+ years, the Yield Curve is positive.


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